PackAnalyst
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Premier Watch Box

Courtyard · Watches · $10000 per pack

Typical rip?
77.9%
median · half came back above
Average?
90.3%
pulled up by the big hits
Net take-home?
–
no buyback rate published
Pulls sampled?
32
real reveals recorded
Where the pulls landed · card value vs. the $10000 it cost
  • under 25%0%
  • 25-50%0%
  • 50-90%78.1%
  • 90-110%3.1%
  • 110-200%18.8%
  • 200-500%0%
  • over 500%0%

21.9% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the pack cost. The middle 80% landed between 69.3% and 131.0%. The average sits well above the typical rip, so this pack is jackpot-driven: you usually lose, occasionally win big.

Advertised odds vs. real pulls

TierValueAdvertised?Observed?n
base80-90%50%15.6%5
common90-100%38%0%0
uncommon100-200%11%21.9%7
rare200-1000%1%0%0

Advertised figures as published by Courtyard, checked 2026-10-03. Observed frequencies from 32 sampled pulls. We report the gap in both directions: packs that underdeliver and packs whose own odds sell them short.

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