PackAnalyst
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Football Ultra Pack

Courtyard · Football · $250 per pack

Typical rip?
73.5%
median · half came back above
Average?
87.3%
pulled up by the big hits
Net take-home?
–
no buyback rate published
Pulls sampled?
547
real reveals recorded
Where the pulls landed · card value vs. the $250 it cost
  • under 25%0%
  • 25-50%0%
  • 50-90%75.3%
  • 90-110%6.6%
  • 110-200%15.5%
  • 200-500%2.6%
  • over 500%0%

20.8% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the pack cost. The middle 80% landed between 61.9% and 137.1%. The average sits well above the typical rip, so this pack is jackpot-driven: you usually lose, occasionally win big.

Advertised odds vs. real pulls

TierValueAdvertised?Observed?n
base70-86%52.900000000000006%36.4%199
common86-100%25%5.9%32
uncommon100-200%19%18.3%100
rare200-400%3%2.6%14
chase400-1600%0.1%0%0

Advertised figures as published by Courtyard, checked 2026-10-03. Observed frequencies from 547 sampled pulls. We report the gap in both directions: packs that underdeliver and packs whose own odds sell them short.

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