PackAnalyst
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Football: Round 3 (Spicy)

Courtyard · Limited · $149 per pack

Typical rip?
61.9%
median · half came back above
Average?
111.3%
pulled up by the big hits
Net take-home?
–
no buyback rate published
Pulls sampled?
553
real reveals recorded
Where the pulls landed · card value vs. the $149 it cost
  • under 25%0%
  • 25-50%22.1%
  • 50-90%44.1%
  • 90-110%5.4%
  • 110-200%12.7%
  • 200-500%15.2%
  • over 500%0.5%

30.4% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the pack cost. The middle 80% landed between 47.6% and 287.0%. The average sits well above the typical rip, so this pack is jackpot-driven: you usually lose, occasionally win big.

Advertised odds vs. real pulls

TierValueAdvertised?Observed?n
base49.9-73.8%55.099999999999994%36.2%200
common73.8-100%16%11.6%64
uncommon100-200%22%14.6%81
rare200-400%6%14.6%81
chase400-3200%0.9%1.1%6

Advertised figures as published by Courtyard, checked 2026-10-03. Observed frequencies from 553 sampled pulls. We report the gap in both directions: packs that underdeliver and packs whose own odds sell them short.

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