PackAnalyst
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Classic Watch Box

Courtyard · Watches · $5000 per pack

Typical rip?
77.3%
median · half came back above
Average?
95.6%
pulled up by the big hits
Net take-home?
–
no buyback rate published
Pulls sampled?
35
real reveals recorded
Where the pulls landed · card value vs. the $5000 it cost
  • under 25%0%
  • 25-50%0%
  • 50-90%62.9%
  • 90-110%8.6%
  • 110-200%25.7%
  • 200-500%2.9%
  • over 500%0%

28.6% of sampled pulls came back worth at least what the pack cost. The middle 80% landed between 60.9% and 149.2%. The average sits well above the typical rip, so this pack is jackpot-driven: you usually lose, occasionally win big.

Advertised odds vs. real pulls

TierValueAdvertised?Observed?n
base68.3-84.1%56.900000000000006%28.6%10
common84.1-100%24%11.4%4
uncommon100-200%17%25.7%9
rare200-400%2%2.9%1
chase400-600%0.1%0%0

Advertised figures as published by Courtyard, checked 2026-10-03. Observed frequencies from 35 sampled pulls. We report the gap in both directions: packs that underdeliver and packs whose own odds sell them short.

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